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With this model: the amount of backlog would be reduced significantly, the amount of staff needed to do the job would be reduced drastically, the processing time would be shortened significantly and more cases of fraudulent transactions would be tracked down in a given amount of data processed - more than 40% increase in efficiency!

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CyprianFusi/FraudDetectionModel-with-Gretl

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FraudDetectionModel

In this notebook I use a publickly available dataset 'FraudDetection.xlsx'to train fraud detection models.

  • See Notebook fraud_detection_imbalance_classes in this repo for Weighted Logistic Regression.

Two Fraud Detection models trained:

  1. Logistic Regression
  2. AdaBoost Classifier

The accuracy of both the Logistic Regression and AdaBoost Classifier models using the test data are greater than 85%!! This suggests that the model is really good but can further be improved by tuning some hyper-parameters.

The CAP curve analysis shows that that if 50% of the data is analysed without the model only 50% of the fraudulent cases would be discovered. But using the model, we would be able to identify more than 90% of the fraudulent cases in the same amount of data!!

Using the model:

  • the amount of backlog (incoming and unfinished work) would be reduced significantly,
  • the amount of staff needed to do the job would be reduced drastically,
  • the processing time would be shortened significantly and
  • more cases of fraudulent transactions would be tracked down in a given amount of data processed - more than 40% increase in effeciency!

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With this model: the amount of backlog would be reduced significantly, the amount of staff needed to do the job would be reduced drastically, the processing time would be shortened significantly and more cases of fraudulent transactions would be tracked down in a given amount of data processed - more than 40% increase in efficiency!

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